由于未来的永久土融化,北极和亚北极森林火灾的急剧增加
In-Won Kim1,2, Axel Timmermann3,4, Ji-Eun Kim3,4
1Center for Climate Physics, Institute for Basic Science, Busan, South Korea. iwkimi@pusan.ac.kr.
Nature communications
|September 24, 2024
概括
气候变化加快了北极永久土的融化,导致土壤干燥,增加了野火风险. 由于这些变化,该研究项目在21世纪末在西伯利亚和加拿大加剧了野火.
科学领域:
- 地球和环境科学 地球和环境科学
- 气候科学 气候科学
- 地质科学 地质科学
背景情况:
- 21世纪气候变化的加速推动北极和南极地区的永久土融化.
- 永久土的融化加剧了土壤碳退化,甲排放和全球变暖.
- 永久土融化对未来野火和温室气体排放的具体影响仍然不太清楚.
研究的目的:
- 综合分析未来永久土融化对北极和南极陆地表面过程的影响.
- 研究永久土融化,水文,大气和野火制度之间的联系.
- 在高温室气体排放情景下 (SSP3-7.0) 预测变化.
主要方法:
- 使用了社区地球系统模型版本2 (CESM2) 大集合模拟.
- 分析了50个温室气体变暖模拟,捕捉了合的永久土,水文和大气相互作用.
- 根据SSP3-7.0排放场景,专注于北极和亚北极地区.
主要成果:
- 预计永久土的迅速融化会导致土壤显著干燥,表面变暖和相对湿度降低.
- 到21世纪末,在结合的土壤-水文系统中观察到非线性政权转移.
- 发现西伯利亚西部和加拿大的野火迅速加剧.
结论:
- 永久土的融化显著改变了北极和南极陆地表面的条件,促进了野火活动.
- 结合的陆地-水文-大气系统转移表明火灾风险增加.
- 研究结果强调了气候变化,永久土融化和野火加剧之间的关键反循环.
相关概念视频
Global Climate Change
24.3K
Throughout its ~4.5 billion year history, the Earth has experienced periods of warming and cooling. However, the current drastic increase in global temperatures is well outside of the Earth’s cyclic norms, and evidence for human-caused global climate change is compelling. Paleoclimatology, the study of ancient climate conditions, provides ample evidence for human-caused global climate change by comparing recent conditions with those in the past.
24.3K
Threats to Biodiversity
22.2K
There have been five major extinction events throughout geological history, resulting in the elimination of biodiversity, followed by a rebound of species that adapted to the new conditions. In the current geological epoch, the Holocene, there is a sixth extinction event in progress. This mass extinction has been attributed to human activities and is thus provisionally called the Anthropocene. In 2019 the human population reached 7.7 billion people and is projected to comprise 10 billion by...
22.2K
What is Weather?
18.2K
Overview
18.2K
Decreased Body Temperature
602
A decreased body temperature can occur in patients with hypothermia and frostbite. Heat loss with extended cold exposure overpowers the body's ability to create heat, resulting in hypothermia. Core temperature readings help classify hypothermia. Mild hypothermia is temperatures between 32 °C (89.6 °F) and 35°C (95 °F) and is caused by impaired thermoregulation. Moderate hypothermia is temperatures between 28 C (82.4 °F) and 32 °C (89.6 °F) caused by...
602
Ecological Disturbance
17.0K
An ecological disturbance is a temporary disruption in the environment resulting from abiotic, biotic, or anthropogenic factors, causing a pronounced change in an ecosystem. The impact of an ecological disturbance, which can depend on its intensity, frequency, and spatial distribution, plays a significant role in shaping the species diversity within the ecosystem.
17.0K
What is Climate?
18.4K
Climate refers to the prevailing weather conditions in a specific area over an extended period. As the saying goes, “Climate is what you expect. Weather is what you get.” Climate is influenced by geographic factors, such as latitude, terrain, and proximity to bodies of water.
18.4K


