优化干旱河流盆地的可持续发展:一个多目标的方法来平衡水,能源,经济,碳和生态联系
Yufei Zhang1, Yongping Li1,2, Guohe Huang1,2
1State Key Joint Laboratory of Environmental Simulation and Pollution Control, School of Environment, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China.
Environmental science and ecotechnology
|September 25, 2024
概括
本研究引入了一种新的优化模型,以平衡干旱地区的可持续发展目标 (SDGs). 它表明,提高用水效率可以减少排放并保护环境.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 水资源管理 水资源管理
- 优化建模的优化建模
背景情况:
- 干旱的河流流域面临着水危机,威胁着社会经济和生态的可持续性.
- 由于复杂的社会生态相互作用,平衡多个可持续发展目标 (SDGs) 是一个挑战.
- 了解可持续发展目标之间的权衡和协同作用对于有效的资源管理至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 开发和应用一种新的优化模型,在水-能源-经济-碳-生态联系中平衡多维的可持续发展目标.
- 分析权衡,并确定在干旱地区可持续资源管理的最佳策略.
- 为决策者和水域管理的利益相关者提供指导.
主要方法:
- 介绍一个灰色分数多目标优化 (GFMOP) 模型.
- 将GFMOP模型应用于中国西北部一个干旱的河流流域.
- 探索32种情景,考虑社会经济路径,碳排放,水效率和生态需求.
主要成果:
- 在边际收益和碳排放强度之间存在着重要的权衡.
- 提高经济用水效率可以同时减少排放,提高环境保护.
- 建议优先考虑风力发电 (预计到2060年占比为23.3%),并促进碳捕获技术,以实现碳中和.
结论:
- 该GFMOP模型有效地揭示了多个可持续发展目标之间的相互关系,并确定了妥协解决方案.
- 资源分配和污染物控制的战略是详细的,提供了有价值的指导.
- 通过综合社会生态方法,可以实现可持续和和的流域管理.
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