评估亲密伴侣杀害女性的风险指标,考虑受害者应对暴力的应对策略:基于遗传算法的动态多层线性混合模型
Esperanza Garcia-Vergara1, Francisco Fernández-Navarro2, David Becerra-Alonso1
1Department of Quantitative Methods, Universidad Loyola Andalucía, Seville, 41704, Andalusia, Spain.
Heliyon
|September 25, 2024
概括
使用脱离应对策略的女性的亲密伴侣杀害女性 (IPF) 风险更高. 了解应对机制对于预防亲密伴侣暴力死亡至关重要.
科学领域:
- 犯罪学 犯罪学
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
- 社会学 社会学 社会学
背景情况:
- 亲密伴侣杀害女性 (IPF) 是一个全球危机,每年造成约30,000人死亡.
- 研究已经确定了IPF风险因素,但忽视了受害者应对策略.
- 应对策略为滥用动态和预防提供了洞察力.
研究的目的:
- 分析参与和脱离参与应对对IPF可能性的影响.
- 确定与不同应对策略相关的IPF风险指标.
- 为IPF风险评估开发一个多层线性混合模型 (LMM).
主要方法:
- 从法庭记录分析了491起西班牙亲密伴侣暴力案件 (2019-2022年).
- 使用多层线性混合模型 (LMM) 来评估应对策略的影响.
- 根据应对方式,确定了IPF的常见和特定风险指标.
主要成果:
- 该LMM有效地区分了IPF和非IPF案件.
- 确定的风险指标包括先前的伤害,性侵犯,暴力升级和犯罪地点.
- 与参与应对相比,脱离应对与IPF的更高倾向有关.
结论:
- 受害者应对策略是亲密伴侣杀害女性风险的重要预测因素.
- 脱离应对策略可能会增加对IPF的脆弱性.
- 将应对策略分析纳入风险评估可以加强IPF预防工作.
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