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基于对流允许模拟的欧洲严重冰潜力的气候学
Abdullah Kahraman1,2, Elizabeth J Kendon3, Hayley J Fowler1
1School of Engineering, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK.
概括
一种新的方法可以在气候模型中识别严重的冰风暴. 欧洲欧洲欧洲欧洲欧洲欧洲欧洲
科学领域:
- 气候科学 气候科学
- 气象学 天气学
- 大气科学 大气科学
背景情况:
- 严重的冰风带来了重大风险.
- 了解冰气候学对于影响评估至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 在气候模型中开发一种新的方法来识别严重的冰风暴.
- 在整个欧洲构建严重冰潜力的气候学.
主要方法:
- 使用了允许对流的气候模型.
- 采用基于成分的方法来识别冰.
- 分析了20年的后排模拟.
主要成果:
- 在欧洲,从5月到8月,在南部地区 (如意大利北部) 最常见的严重冰.
- 冰风在陆地下午/晚上达到峰值,但在海上随时发生.
- 地中海,特别是中部地区,秋季的频率很高.
结论:
- 开发的方法可靠地识别气候模拟中的严重冰风暴.
- 这种方法作为一个有价值的工具,用于研究严重冰事件的未来变化.
- 该研究强调地中海是严重的冰风的重要,低估的地区.
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