Beidi Hu1, Joseph P Simmons2

  • 1Marketing Group, University of Chicago Booth School of Business.

概括

研究人员比较了两种引出信念分布的方法:分布构建器和滑块. 分布构建器通常产生更准确的信念分布,除了与右倾数据混合的情况下.

相关概念视频

Choosing Between z and t Distribution01:25

Choosing Between z and t Distribution

The z and the Student t distribution estimate the population mean using the sample mean and standard deviation. However, to decide which distribution to use for a calculation, one needs to determine the sample size, the nature of the distribution, and whether the population standard deviation is known. If the population standard deviation is known and the population is normally distributed, or if the sample size is greater than 30, the z distribution is preferred. The Student t distribution is...
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Bias01:22

Bias

Bias refers to any tendency that prevents a question from being considered unprejudiced. In research, bias occurs when one outcome or answer is selected or encouraged over others in sampling or testing. Bias can occur during any research phase, including study design, data collection, analysis, and publication.
In statistics, a sampling bias is created when a sample is collected from a population, and some members of the population are not as likely to be chosen as others (remember, each member...
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Probability Distributions01:32

Probability Distributions

 The probability of a random variable x  is the likelihood of its occurrence. A probability distribution represents the probabilities of a random variable using a formula, graph, or table. There are two types of probability distribution– discrete probability distribution and continuous probability distribution.
A discrete probability distribution is a probability distribution of discrete random variables. It can be categorized into binomial probability distribution and Poisson...
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Distributions to Estimate Population Parameter01:26

Distributions to Estimate Population Parameter

The accurate values of population parameters such as population proportion, population mean, and population standard deviation (or variance) are usually unknown. These are fixed values that can only be estimated from the data collected from the samples. The estimates of each of these parameters are sample proportion, the sample mean, and sample standard deviation (or variance). To obtain the values of these sample statistics, data are required that have particular distribution and central...
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Confirmation Biases01:31

Confirmation Biases

The confirmation bias is the tendency to focus on information that confirms our existing beliefs and ignore information that is inconsistent with our expectations. For example, if you think that your professor is not very nice, you notice all of the instances of rude behavior exhibited by the professor while ignoring the countless pleasant interactions he is involved in on a daily basis. Have you ever fallen prey to the confirmation bias, either as the source or target of such bias?
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Chi-square Distribution01:10

Chi-square Distribution

How does one determine if bingo numbers are evenly distributed or if some numbers occurred with a greater frequency? Or if the types of movies people preferred were different across different age groups or if a coffee machine dispensed approximately the same amount of coffee each time. These questions can be addressed by conducting a hypothesis test. One distribution that can be used to find answers to such questions is known as the chi-square distribution. The chi-square distribution has...
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