减少可避免死亡率的经济价值
Angela Y Chang1,2,3, Gretchen A Stevens4, Diego S Cardoso5
1Danish Institute for Advanced Study, University of Southern Denmark, Odense, Denmark. achang@health.sdu.dk.
Nature medicine
|September 27, 2024
概括
减少可避免的死亡,大大提高了经济福利. 在全球范围内,人们认为避免死亡占年收入的23%,这突显了改善健康和寿命的经济效益.
科学领域:
- 卫生经济学 卫生经济学
- 人口统计学 人口统计学
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
背景情况:
- 个人和家庭的福利是通过更长,更健康的生活增强.
- 世界银行的健康长寿倡议旨在了解长寿的经济影响.
- 量化健康改善的经济价值对于政策制定至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 量化实现最低可能的死亡率的全球经济价值.
- 估计全球各地区,性别和年龄的可避免死亡率减少的经济价值.
- 在快速进步的情景下,将这些经济价值预测到2050年.
主要方法:
- 估计可避免死亡率的经济价值 (观察到的死亡率和最低实现的死亡率之间的差异).
- 对20002021年进行的分析,预测到2050年.
- 按世界地区,性别和年龄进行的计算.
主要成果:
- 2019年,69%的死亡 (4000万) 是可以避免的.
- 可避免死亡的全球经济价值是年收入的23%.
- 这一值在不同地区有所不同,从中国的19%到撒哈拉以南非洲的34%.
结论:
- 人口愿意放弃大量收入以减少死亡率,这表明人们高度重视健康.
- 到2050年实现快速降低死亡率,可以将预期寿命差距减半,并产生相当于年收入14%的经济价值.
- 这项研究提供了强有力的证据,证明改善人口健康和寿命的显著经济效益.
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