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荷兰因树木倒塌而造成的伤害和死亡:对1998-2021年期间的观测数据进行分析
Marinus van Haaften1,2, Cornelis Gardebroek3, Wim Heijman3,4
1Agricultural Economics and Rural Policy Group, Wageningen University and Research, Wageningen, The Netherlands. marinus.vanhaaften@inholland.nl.
Scientific reports
|September 28, 2024
概括
倒下的树木和树枝造成的伤害正在增加,特别是在荷兰的农村地区. 这一趋势凸显了提高对树木倒塌风险的认识和预防措施的必要性.
科学领域:
- 环境健康 环境健康
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
- 城市林业城市林业
背景情况:
- 城市和路边的树木提供了显著的健康和弹性益处.
- 树木的故障,如树枝或整个树木的倒下,构成伤害和死亡的风险.
- 了解树木倒塌事件的长期趋势对于公共安全至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 分析荷兰树木倒塌造成的伤害和死亡的长期趋势 (1998-2021年).
- 根据城市-农村位置,性别,年龄和交通模式来调查这些事件的变化.
- 识别差异并为有针对性的公共卫生干预提供信息.
主要方法:
- 从1998年到2021年,追溯分析了与树木倒塌相关的受伤和死亡数据.
- 对趋势的统计检查,包括年度百分比增长和显著性测试.
- 根据地理位置 (城市与农村),人口统计和事件情况对数据的分层.
主要成果:
- 由于树木故障而导致的伤害标准化率显著增加,每年从每百万人口的0.14到0.91.
- 与城市地区 (3.0%) 相比,农村地区的伤害年增长率明显高 (13.2%) ,这表明城市和农村的差异很大.
- 在研究期间,与树木衰竭相关的死亡频率没有发现显著的趋势.
结论:
- 与树木倒塌相关的伤害发生率不断上升,特别是在农村环境中,需要集中注意力和风险减轻策略.
- 提高公众和政府对树木倒塌风险的认识是必不可少的.
- 建议对树木失效的原因,驱动因素和压力因素进行进一步的研究,以加强预防工作.
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