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相关概念视频

Temperature Measurement Sites01:14

Temperature Measurement Sites

1.6K
A thermometer measures body temperature. The common sites for measuring body temperature are the oral cavity, axillary region, temporal artery, and skin surface, such as the forehead, abdomen, and axilla. True core body temperature is assessed in the rectum, tympanic membrane, pulmonary artery, esophagus, and urinary bladder.
Oral: When assessing oral temperature, the thermometer tip should be placed under the tongue in the posterior sublingual pocket. It offers accurate readings and can be...
1.6K
Random Error01:04

Random Error

843
Random or indeterminate errors originate from various uncontrollable variables, such as variations in environmental conditions, instrument imperfections, or the inherent variability of the phenomena being measured. Usually, these errors cannot be predicted, estimated, or characterized because their direction and magnitude often vary in magnitude and direction even during consecutive measurements. As a result, they are difficult to eliminate. However, the aggregate effect of these errors can be...
843
Precipitation and Co-precipitation01:17

Precipitation and Co-precipitation

1.7K
Precipitation and coprecipitation methods can be used to separate a mixture of ions in a solution. In qualitative inorganic analysis, ions that form sparingly soluble precipitates with the same reagent are separated based on the differences in solubility products. For example, consider the separation of Cu(II) and Fe(II) ions by precipitation as insoluble sulfides. First, copper(II) sulfide is precipitated by the addition of acidic H2S, where the dissociation of H2S is suppressed. Adding H2S...
1.7K
Coordinates and Map Projections01:29

Coordinates and Map Projections

35
Coordinates and map projections are essential tools in accurately representing the Earth's surface for various applications, ranging from navigation to spatial analysis. The latitude and longitude coordinate system is a universally recognized framework for defining locations. Latitude specifies the distance of a point north or south of the equator, measured in degrees from 0° at the equator to 90° at the poles. Longitude indicates a location's position east or west of the prime meridian,...
35
What is Weather?01:07

What is Weather?

18.2K
Overview
18.2K
Precipitation Processes01:12

Precipitation Processes

430
The experimental conditions in a gravimetric analysis should be optimized to maximize the particle size and purity of the obtained precipitate. Ideally, the concentration of the precipitating reagent should be low with effective stirring to maintain low relative supersaturation for the growth of large crystals. In homogeneous precipitation, the precipitant is slowly generated by a chemical reaction in the solution to avoid local reagent excesses. For example, urea decomposes gradually to...
430

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相关实验视频

Updated: Jun 11, 2025

Using Generative Art to Convey Past and Future Climate Transitions
06:10

Using Generative Art to Convey Past and Future Climate Transitions

Published on: March 31, 2023

902

对所有地点的长期概率温度预测.

Xin Chen1, Adrian E Raftery1, David S Battisti2

  • 1Department of Statistics, University of Washington, Box 354322, Seattle, WA 98195-4322, USA.

Climate dynamics
|September 30, 2024
PubMed
概括

这项研究引入了一种新的方法,用于对由于气候变化的局部温度变化进行概率空间预测. 它提供了全球未来温度的概率分布,改进了现有的模型.

科学领域:

  • 气候科学 气候科学
  • 环境科学 环境科学
  • 统计建模 统计建模

背景情况:

  • 目前的气候变化预测缺乏充分的概率解释.
  • 现有的全球温度预测没有提供区域特异性.

研究的目的:

  • 开发一种方法来进行局部年平均温度变化的概率长期空间预测.
  • 为任何地点和年份的未来温度提供概率分布.

主要方法:

  • 将概率全球方法与模式缩放方法相结合.
  • 使用样本外预测验证进行校准.

主要成果:

  • 高度,大陆和北半球的温度分别高于低度,海洋和南半球的温度.
  • 北极地区16°C升温的可能性为5%;北非,西亚和欧洲大部分地区至少2°C升温的可能性为95%.
  • 到2100年,不确定性来源将从自然变化转向模型和排放不确定性.

结论:

  • 开发的方法提供了对局部温度变化的精心校准的概率空间预测.
  • 这些发现与已确定的不同度和表面的差异变暖模式一致.
  • 该研究量化了区域温度变化概率,并澄清了随时间推移的不确定性驱动因素.
关键词:
碳排放 碳排放 碳排放结合模型相互比较项目关于气候变化的政府间小组.自然变化的自然变化.模式缩放方法 模式缩放方法可能性的人口预测.

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