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世界游泳趋势在不同表现群的十年演变:高斯模型
Santiago Veiga1, Alexia Grenouillat2, Luis Rodríguez-Adalia3
1Department of Sports, Universidad Politécnica de Madrid, Madrid, Spain.
International journal of sports physiology and performance
|September 30, 2024
概括
世界游泳排名在过去十年中总体上有所改善,因为COVID-19影响了表现. 女游泳者显示性别差距越来越大,这表明女性的机会.
科学领域:
- 运动科学 运动科学 运动科学
- 游泳表现分析 游泳表现分析
- 体育运动中的数学建模.
背景情况:
- 了解精英游泳表现的演变对于人才识别和战略规划至关重要.
- COVID-19大流行严重扰乱了全球体育,需要对其对运动员排名的影响进行分析.
研究的目的:
- 为了分析全球游泳排名的10年演变.
- 评估COVID-19流行病对不同表现水平的游泳者的具体影响.
主要方法:
- 收集了2013-2022年世界排名前200名的游泳项目 (50米游泳池).
- 应用了高斯数学模型来评估性能集群 (距离,中风,性别) 的排名进展.
- 与COVID-19季节数据和没有数据的模型结果进行比较.
主要成果:
- 世界排名总体上有所进步,在COVID-19季节和奥运会后的时期下降,在2021年达到顶峰.
- 自2017年以来,世界水上运动积分中越来越多的性别差距有利于男性,到2022年达到1.5%.
- 高斯模型表明,在带有和没有COVID-19数据的数据集之间,性能差距为21-36点,特别影响女性和较高排名的游泳者.
结论:
- 女游泳运动员在世界排名中的较低相对表现可能会为进入国际比赛提供机会.
- 该研究强调了COVID-19等干扰对各种运动员群体的不同影响.
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