气候变化下的沿海城市的新型多重危险风险评估框架
Emilio Laino1, Ignacio Toledo2, Luis Aragonés2
1School of Engineering and Architecture & Environmental Research Institute, MaREI, University College Cork, Cork, Ireland.
The Science of the total environment
|October 3, 2024
概括
沿海城市的新多危险风险评估 (MHRA) 框架使用遥感和本地数据来识别气候风险,如热浪和洪水. 这种方法有助于制定针对城市恢复力的有针对性的适应策略.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 适应气候变化 适应气候变化
- 城市规划 城市规划
背景情况:
- 沿海城市面临越来越多的气候变化挑战,影响住房,经济和生物多样性.
- 现有的风险评估往往缺乏适合城市沿海环境的综合性多危险方法.
研究的目的:
- 为沿海城市生活实验室设计了一个新的多重危险风险评估 (MHRA) 框架.
- 通过评估多种与气候有关的危险,为沿海城市提供全面的风险概况.
主要方法:
- 利用遥感数据 (ERA5,城市地图,MERIT DEM) 进行危险评估.
- 采用了系统的,基于指标的方法,整合了当地专业知识和历史数据.
- 将框架应用于西班牙贝尼多姆的海岸城市生活实验室案例研究.
主要成果:
- 确定了贝尼多姆的特定脆弱性,特别是热浪,暴雨和沿海洪水.
- 证明了该框架能够为气候风险提供详细的时空洞察力.
- 风险概况允许与其他欧洲沿海城市进行比较分析.
结论:
- MHRA框架为全球沿海城市的气候风险评估和比较提供了一个有价值的模型.
- 持续更新数据和适应性管理对于保持评估准确性至关重要.
- 该方法支持制定有针对性的适应策略,以提高城市弹性.
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