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Updated: Jun 11, 2025

Author Spotlight: Automated Lifespan Monitoring – Discovering Aging Dynamics with the Lifespan Machine
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根据贝叶斯人口预测,对2100年人类寿命的概率预测

Michael Pearce1, Adrian Raftery2

  • 1Departments of Statistics, University of Washington, USA.

Demographic research
|October 4, 2024
PubMed
概括

这项研究预测了人类的寿命,预测到2100年死亡时的最高报告年龄将被超越的可能性很高. 我们估计到达极端年龄的可能性是126或130.

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