评估伊朗麻疹传播风险:利用世界卫生组织的程序性风险评估工具,2022年
Elham Dashti1, Manoochehr Karami1,2, Seyed Mohsen Zahraei3
1Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health and Safety, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.
BMC infectious diseases
|October 5, 2024
概括
尽管伊朗的麻疹疫苗接种覆盖率很高,但进口病例构成了风险. 这项研究发现所有地区的传播风险低,尽管评估工具对农村地区有局限性.
科学领域:
- 流行病学 流行病学
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
- 传染病控制和控制传染病
背景情况:
- 伊朗的麻疹消除工作因邻国流行病而受到进口病例的挑战.
- 评估区域性麻疹传播风险对于维持消除状态至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 评估在伊朗不同地区传播麻疹的风险.
- 鉴定潜在易受麻疹疫情影响的地区,尽管疫苗接种率很高.
主要方法:
- 利用了31个省份和463个地区的2019-2021年麻疹病例监测数据.
- 采用世卫组织麻疹程序性风险评估工具,评估人口免疫力,监测质量,计划交付和威胁评估.
- 分类风险水平为低,中,高或非常高.
主要成果:
- 在2019-2021年期间,平均麻疹发病率为每百万人口1.9人.
- 所有被评估的地区都被归类为低风险地区,具有高的人口免疫力 (MMR1/MMR2覆盖率≥95%) 和足够的监测质量.
- 像安迪梅什克 (Andimeshk),查巴哈尔 (Chabahar) 和博伊努德 (Bojnurd) 这样的特定地区的风险得分较高,但仍处于低风险类别内.
结论:
- 总的来说,伊朗的各个地区的麻疹传播风险较低.
- 世卫组织工具的有效性在农村/边缘地区的水平上是有限的,可能需要适应不同流行病学背景的国家 (例如,消除与流行病).
- 建议进行敏感性分析,以优化该工具在各种疾病情景中的应用.
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