第三方干预促进相互依存网络上的合作:基于前景理论的观点
Yu'e Wu1, Zhiqiang Li2, Zeyun Liu1
1School of Management Science and Engineering, Tianjin University of Finance and Economics, Tianjin 300222, China.
Chaos (Woodbury, N.Y.)
|October 7, 2024
概括
第三方干预通过考虑争议方所感知的收益和损失,有效地促进合作,正如前景理论所解释的那样. 更高的干预强度和更低的成本导致更大的合作.
科学领域:
- 社会科学 社会科学 社会科学
- 游戏理论 游戏理论
- 行为经济学是一种行为经济学.
背景情况:
- 第三方干预对于解决冲突和合作至关重要.
- 争议方的决定受到干预的感知而不是实际结果的影响.
- 展望理论提供了一个理解风险决策的框架.
研究的目的:
- 通过使用前景理论在与第三方干预者和争议方的系统中探索合作动态.
- 模拟感知收益和损失对采用合作战略的影响.
- 分析相互依赖的网络中合作的形成和维持.
主要方法:
- 介绍前景理论,以建模争议决策.
- 模拟一个由两个相互依赖的网络组成的系统:干预者和争议者.
- 将囚犯的困境游戏与第三方对叛逃者的惩罚相结合.
主要成果:
- 第三方干预,以前景理论为指导,减少冲突和加强合作.
- 合作水平与干预成本相反.
- 合作水平与干预强度直接相关.
结论:
- 基于前景理论的干预措施可以有效调解争端.
- 第三方应考虑争议方的风险态度,以获得成功的调解.
- 了解所感知的结果是促进冲突解决合作的关键.
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