在一维经济模型中,形结构和周期泡的路径会导致混乱
Ruma Kumbhakar1, Sarbari Karmakar1, Nikhil Pal1
1Department of Mathematics, Visva-Bharati, Santiniketan 731235, India.
Chaos (Woodbury, N.Y.)
|October 7, 2024
概括
混沌理论在一个简单的模型中揭示了复杂的经济动态. 混乱政权中的形结构通过调整参数提供了通往稳定的经济场景的途径.
科学领域:
- 经济学 经济学 经济学
- 复杂性科学 复杂性科学
- 非线性动力学是一种非线性动力学.
背景情况:
- 混沌理论适用于各种科学学科,包括经济学.
- 了解经济系统中的复杂动态对于预测市场行为至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 调查一维经济模型的复杂动态.
- 在模型的参数平面内识别混乱和非混乱的有组织区域.
- 探索经济模式中的混乱和新兴结构的路线.
主要方法:
- 在参数平面上分析一维经济模型.
- 识别"混乱和非混乱"的区域.
- 观察新出现的现象,如形结构和周期泡.
主要成果:
- 该模型展示了混乱和非混乱的有组织区域,以及各种通往混乱的路线.
- 在混乱的政权中,有趣的形结构出现.
- 观察到诱导的月经泡,自我相似性和可视化行为.
结论:
- 混乱政权中的形结构为过渡到有利的周期性经济场景提供了机会.
- 模型动态表明,公司的结果 (破产,资本增长/下降) 取决于参数和初始条件.
- 即使是简单的单维模型也可以产生复杂和不可预测的经济行为.
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