修订VOC排放特异化改进了全球背景乙和的模拟
Matthew J Rowlinson1,2, Mat J Evans1,2, Lucy J Carpenter2
1National Centre for Atmospheric Science, University of York, York, YO10 5DD, UK.
概括
化学运输模型难以准确模拟非甲挥发性有机化合物 (NMVOCs). 改进排放特异化数据显著减少了模型的模型.
科学领域:
- 大气化学 大气化学
- 气候建模气候模型
- 环境科学 环境科学
背景情况:
- 非甲挥发性有机化合物 (NMVOCs) 影响大气化学,影响臭氧和气溶的形成.
- 在化学运输模型中精确模拟NMVOC对于了解大气过程至关重要.
- 之前的研究发现模拟的乙和度显著低估.
研究的目的:
- 评估GEOS-Chem模型在模拟NMVOC度方面的能力.
- 评估改进的NMVOC排放物种化对模型准确性的影响.
- 解决模拟全球乙度的长期问题.
主要方法:
- 模型模拟与来自NOAA Flask网络和GAW的观测数据的比较.
- 使用社区排放数据系统 (CEDS) 计算NMVOC总质量.
- 纳入区域排放清单 (NEI,NAEI,MEIC) 进行NMVOC特种化.
主要成果:
- 使用CEDS证实了模拟乙 (35%) 和 (64%) 的显著低估.
- 修订后的物种化数据大大改善了乙模拟 (偏差从-35%降至-4%).
- 气模拟得到了改进,但仍然被低估 (偏差从-64%降至-48%),这表明缺失了来源.
结论:
- 改进的NMVOC排放特异化解决了模拟全球乙的长期低偏差.
- 虽然提升了气模拟,但仍然存在大量的低估值,表明需要确定缺失的来源.
- 在NMVOC物种化中的变化对热层臭氧和OH度的影响很小.
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