点和非点源控制对切萨皮克湾流域 (美国) 总负载趋势的影响
Qian Zhang1, Joel T Bostic2,3, Robert D Sabo4
1University of Maryland Center for Environmental Science, Annapolis, MD, United States of America.
概括
切萨皮克湾流域的总 (TP) 载荷显示出不同的趋势. 营养物质管理工作是有效的,但遗留的对某些地区产生了影响,突出显示了持续减少战略的需要.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 水质管理水质管理
- 生态系统恢复 恢复生态系统
背景情况:
- 减少总 (TP) 负载对于切萨皮克湾的恢复至关重要.
- 河流监测站显示了TP负载的不同时间趋势.
- 了解区域模式和TP趋势的驱动因素对于有效管理至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 分析来自90个非潮网络站的TP负载数据.
- 确定影响海湾流域TP趋势的区域模式和驱动因素.
- 预测 TP 趋势集群的空间,用于流域规划.
主要方法:
- 使用聚类和随机森林 (RF) 方法来分析TP负载数据.
- 站被分为单调增长 (n=35) 和单调下降 (n=55) 集群.
- 射频模型确定了TP趋势集群的区域驱动因素,包括点源,农业非点源和地质因素.
主要成果:
- 确定了两个不同的TP负载趋势集群:单调增长和单调下降.
- 减少点和农业非点水源有助于改善水质.
- 碳酸盐地区的TP下降趋势更有可能发生,沿海平原地区的TP下降趋势更不可能发生,这表明遗留的影响.
结论:
- 营养管理工作,目标点和非点源,在改善水质方面表现出有效性.
- 沿海平原地区的遗留可能会阻碍TP减少.
- 在空间上对TP趋势的明确预测有助于流域规划,并突出了对大规模营养减少努力的持续需求.
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