两极分化的感知:时间和疫苗接种情况如何改变共和党和民主党的COVID-19风险感知
Evan W Sandlin1, Daniel J Simmons2
1Center for Economic and Social Research, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA, USA.
Journal of elections, public opinion and parties
|October 11, 2024
概括
共和党人和民主党人在COVID-19风险感知方面存在差异. 虽然共和党人随着时间的推移更多地降低了活动风险感知,但接种疫苗的民主党人更多地降低了感染,住院和死亡风险感知.
科学领域:
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
- 政治科学 政治科学是指政治学.
- 行为科学 行为科学
背景情况:
- 以前的研究表明,在COVID-19风险感知方面存在党派差异,共和党人通常报告的感知低于民主党人.
- 在整个大流行期间,这种党派差距的一致性仍然是一个开放的问题.
研究的目的:
- 检查时间的流逝和COVID-19疫苗接种情况如何影响共和党人和民主党人的风险感知.
- 分析与各种活动和健康结果 (感染,住院,死亡) 相关的感知风险的变化.
主要方法:
- 利用了来自"了解美国研究"的"了解美国冠状病毒"小组调查的纵向数据.
- 评估了随着时间的推移与活动和健康结果相关的风险感知变化,比较了共和党和民主党受访者.
- 对媒体消费和社交媒体使用进行控制,以确保调查结果的可靠性.
主要成果:
- 与民主党人相比,共和党人随着时间的推移,在与各种活动相关的感知风险方面表现出更大的减少.
- 接种疫苗的民主党人比接种疫苗的共和党人更显著地减少了对COVID-19感染,住院和死亡的感知风险.
- 在考虑媒体消费模式后,风险感知中的这些不同的趋势仍然保持一致.
结论:
- 在整个大流行期间,COVID-19风险感知中的党派差异已经演变,显示出基于活动的风险与基于健康结果的风险的不同模式.
- 政治派别之间风险感知的不同轨迹,特别是关于接种疫苗的人群严重的健康结果,可能会对公共卫生信息和政策带来挑战.
- 对于领导人来说,了解风险感知中的这些细微的政治分歧至关重要,他们的目标是超越大流行的政治复杂性,向社会恢复正常转变.
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