如何提高抗旱能力,以保证区域可持续发展
Huihui Wang1,2,3, Xiaoyong Gao1,4,5, Yunsong Yang1,2
1Advanced Institute of Natural Sciences, Beijing Normal University, Zhuhai, 519087, China.
Heliyon
|October 14, 2024
概括
中国中国中国中国.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 城市规划 城市规划
- 灾害管理 灾害管理
背景情况:
- 干旱带来了重大的环境和社会经济挑战,阻碍了全球城市可持续发展.
- 提高抗旱能力对于确保区域可持续性和应对灾害影响至关重要.
- 评估和理解干旱弹性动态是一个关键的研究重点.
研究的目的:
- 开发一个全面的框架来评估中国的抗旱能力.
- 分析时空演变,影响机制和干旱抗性未来趋势.
- 为加强区域干旱抵御能力提供有针对性的政策干预信息.
主要方法:
- 开发一个全面的干旱性评估框架.
- 对时空进化特征和影响机制的分析.
- 使用预测模型预测未来的干旱性趋势.
主要成果:
- 在过去12年中,中国的平均抗旱能力增长了14.4%,其中中部和东部沿海省份的抗旱能力更高.
- 观察到积极的空间相关性,东南和东北地区的弹性集群.
- 社会性成为最具影响力的子维度;未来的预测显示适度增长6.2%.
结论:
- 中国的抗旱能力呈现积极趋势,但区域差异很大.
- 社会性在整体抗旱能力中起着至关重要的作用.
- 了解区域差异对于制定有效的干旱管理政策至关重要.
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