全球放射治疗需求和相应的放射治疗专业劳动力需求在2022年,并预测到2050年:一个基于人口的研究研究
Hongcheng Zhu1, Melvin Lee Kiang Chua2, Imjai Chitapanarux3
1Department of Radiation Oncology, Shanghai Cancer Center and Department of Oncology, Shanghai Medical College, Fudan University, Shanghai, China; Shanghai Clinical Research Center for Radiation Oncology, Shanghai Key Laboratory of Radiation Oncology, Shanghai, China.
The Lancet. Global health
|October 14, 2024
概括
预计到2050年,全球癌症放射治疗需求将大幅增加,这需要放射治疗工作人员的大量增长. 迫切需要采取战略,以确保全球平等获得癌症护理.
科学领域:
- 全球健康 全球健康
- 在瘤学瘤学.
- 卫生系统研究 卫生系统研究
背景情况:
- 癌症控制需要一个全面的,综合的全球卫生系统响应.
- 估计未来的放射治疗需求和劳动力需求对于有效的癌症护理计划至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 估计从2022年到2050年的全球放射治疗需求.
- 在同一时期预测所需的放射治疗专业劳动力.
主要方法:
- 基于人口的研究使用全球癌症观测站 (GLOBOCAN) 2022年的数据.
- 模拟放射治疗使用率 (50%和64%) 和远程治疗单位,放射瘤学家,医学物理学家和放射治疗师的劳动力比例.
- 收集了来自32个国家的劳动力数据.
主要成果:
- 估计2022年需要放射治疗的新患者数量为10.0-12.8万,到2050年将增加到16.5-21.2万.
- 预计到2050年全球辐射治疗工作人员需要:84,646名放射瘤学家,47,026名医学物理学家和141,077名放射治疗师.
- 预计到2050年,亚洲的放射治疗需求将是最高的.
结论:
- 迫切需要制定战略,以赋予全球医疗保健工作人员权力.
- 需要创新和具有成本效益的战略来提高全球放射治疗的可访问性.
- 解决癌症护理方面的挑战需要所有利益相关者的集体努力.
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