如何理性推断关于权威揭穿的推断可以限制,维持或传播信仰两极分化
Setayesh Radkani1, Marika Landau-Wells2, Rebecca Saxe1,3
1Department of Brain and Cognitive Sciences, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA 02139, USA.
PNAS nexus
|October 16, 2024
概括
当局试图通过揭秘来减少两极分化,可能会无意中增加它. 一个认知模型表明,模拟观察者可以对权威产生两极分化的信念,阻碍未来的影响,扩大分歧.
科学领域:
- 认知科学 认知科学
- 社会心理学 社会心理学
- 政治科学 政治科学是指政治学.
背景情况:
- 两极化社会的特点是有着不同的观点的子群体.
- 当局使用揭露来影响论并减少两极分化.
- 揭穿的现实世界影响范围从没有到增加的两极分化.
研究的目的:
- 开发一种以认知为灵感的模型,说明个人如何从权威揭穿中理性地推断信息.
- 探索先前的信念和不确定性如何影响这些推断.
- 了解揭穿所减少或加剧信念两极化的条件.
主要方法:
- 开发了一个模拟观察者从权威揭穿的理性推断的计算模型.
- 整合了权力机构决策的直观因果模型.
- 系统地改变模拟观察者的先前信念和不确定性水平.
主要成果:
- 模拟显示,信念的融合比持久的分歧更少.
- 观察者经常对权威的动机和真实性产生两极分化的信念,即使他们最初有共同的信念.
- 关于权威的两极分化的信念限制了他们对后续话题的影响,促进了两极分化的传播.
结论:
- 理性推论的认知模型可以解释揭穿的悖论效应.
- 权威的揭穿可能会导致对权威本身的两极分化信念,而不仅仅是揭穿的主题.
- 这些发现对理解政治两极分化有意义,特别是在选举信仰方面.
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