主体寄生虫系统通过P-Tipping容易灭绝:森林帐作为一个例子
1Mathematics, Irving K. Barber School of Arts and Sciences Unit 5 BLDG SCI, University of British Columbia Okanagan, 1177 Research Road, Kelowna, BC, V1V 1V7, Canada.
Bulletin of mathematical biology
|October 16, 2024
概括
离散的捕食者-猎物模型可以经历相位敏感倾斜 (P-tipping) 到灭绝. 这项研究证实了宿主-寄生虫系统中的P-tipping,揭示了环境变化下的连续模型的相似之处和差异.
科学领域:
- 生态生态学 生态生态学
- 数学生物学 数学生物学
- 人口动态 人口动态
背景情况:
- 连续的捕食者-猎物模型表现出相位敏感倾斜 (P-tipping),由于快速的参数变化,系统可能会崩.
- 森林帐毛虫作为经济上重要的宿主-寄生虫相互作用的模型.
研究的目的:
- 调查在离散时间宿主-寄生虫系统中P-tipping的存在和特征.
- 探索环境变化的影响,特别是全球变暖驱动的变化,在P-tipping.
主要方法:
- 对离散时间宿主-寄生虫模型的分析.
- 消费者的内在增长率的变化,以模拟环境变化.
- 检查相平面动力学和随机共振.
主要成果:
- 离散时间宿主-寄生虫系统展示了P-tipping.
- 离散的P-tipping与连续模型共享特征,包括Allee效应和特定相平面区域的发生.
- 离散的P-tipping与低到高的生产率转移有关,并且可以来自多个不连接的区域.
结论:
- 阶段敏感倾斜是离散生态模型中的一个相关现象,例如宿主-寄生虫系统.
- 与全球变暖相一致的环境变化可以诱导这些系统中的P-tipping.
- 与连续时间对应物相比,离散P-tipping表现出独特的特征,特别是在环境生产率转移方面.
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