重建援助,公共基础设施和经济发展:马歇尔计划在意大利的案例
Nicola Bianchi1, Michela Giorcelli2
1Kellogg School of Management, Northwestern University, 2211 Campus Drive, Evanston, IL 60208, and NBER.
概括
马歇尔计划通过加速基础设施现代化,大大促进了意大利战后经济. 获得更多援助的省份农业产量增加和工业增长,创造了更多就业机会.
科学领域:
- 经济史 经济史 经济史
- 战后重建研究 战后重建研究
- 发展经济学 发展经济学
背景情况:
- 马歇尔计划 (1948-1952) 代表了国际援助的历史性水平.
- 了解其对受援国的确切经济影响对于发展研究至关重要.
- 意大利战后复苏为这项援助计划提供了一个重要的案例研究.
研究的目的:
- 量化马歇尔计划对意大利战后发展的经济影响.
- 分析重建补助和省级经济变化之间的关系.
- 确定受益于援助的具体部门.
主要方法:
- 利用意大利各省的重建拨款分配变化.
- 采用计量经济学分析,将获得的援助与经济结果联系起来.
- 与基础设施现代化相关的农业和工业部门增长的比较.
主要成果:
- 获得更多马歇尔计划援助的省份经历了加快的基础设施现代化.
- 农业生产的显著增长,特别是在易腐货物方面.
- 增加了对节省劳动力的机械的投资,增加了企业进入工业,工业和服务部门的劳动力扩张是显而易见的.
结论:
- 马歇尔计划在刺激意大利战后经济发展方面发挥了关键作用.
- 该计划资助的基础设施改善是农业和工业增长的关键驱动力.
- 该援助促进了意大利向现代化和就业增长的结构性转变.
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