一个改进的框架来量化气候和人为因素对植被动态的贡献 - - 中国的案例研究
Weiyan Wang1, Yingying Ma2, Shikuan Jin1
1State Key Laboratory of Information Engineering in Surveying, Mapping and Remote Sensing, Wuhan University, Wuhan, 430079, China.
Journal of environmental management
|October 20, 2024
概括
气候和人类活动显著推动了中国的植被变绿. 考虑到气候的时间效应,改善了植被动态分析,揭示了生态工程.
科学领域:
- 生态动力学 生态动力学
- 气候变化研究研究 气候变化研究
- 环境科学环境科学
背景情况:
- 量化气候和人类对植被变化的影响对于生态管理至关重要.
- 现有的研究往往忽视了气候的时间效应,并假定影响均,导致不确定性.
- 了解植被动态的驱动因素对于有效的环境保护和资源管理至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 通过1982-2020年叶面积指数 (LAI) 数据检测和归因中国的植被动态.
- 量化气候变化 (CC) 和人类活动 (HA) 对植被动态的影响,特别是在谷物换绿项目 (GGP) 之后.
- 分析LAI的时空变化,并评估时间气候影响的影响.
主要方法:
- 使用的LAI,温度,降水,太阳辐射和土地覆盖数据 (1982-2020).
- 采用了部分相关性分析,通用线性模型,趋势分析和改进的RESTREND.
- 受CC影响的分化像素与受CC和HA影响的像素相比.
主要成果:
- 在2000年至2020年期间,在66.2%的地区观察到显著的植被绿化.
- 无论是CC还是HA都对植被绿化产生了积极的影响.
- 干旱/半干旱地区的降雨是关键;中国南部/西南部的温度占主导地位.
- 考虑到时间效应,气候变量对植被动态的解释能力增加了4.0% (至72.81%).
- 当区分像素影响时,人类活动的贡献从31.19%下降到25.96%.
- 生态工程有效地促进了植被绿化,尽管其量化贡献低于CC.
结论:
- 中国的植被绿化是由气候变化和人类活动推动的.
- 纳入时间气候影响提高了植被动态归因的准确性.
- 生态工程项目在促进植被恢复和管理方面发挥着至关重要的作用.
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