估计2020-2022年在韩国COVID-19大流行期间的过度死亡率
Minjeong Jang1, Soyoung Kim2, Sunhwa Choi2
1Data Analysis Team, Central Disease Control Headquarters for COVID-19, Korea Disease Control and Prevention Agency, Cheongju, Korea.
Journal of Korean medical science
|October 22, 2024
概括
在Omicron变种期间,过度死亡率显著增加,特别是在老年人中. 这凸显了在流行病期间为老年人提供有针对性的医疗保健的需要.
科学领域:
- 流行病学 流行病学
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
- 生物统计学 生物统计学
背景情况:
- 全球范围内,COVID-19疫情对死亡率产生了重大影响.
- 分析过度死亡率对于了解大流行病的全部影响至关重要.
- 这项研究侧重于2020-2022年韩国过度死亡率.
研究的目的:
- 分析2020年至2022年期间韩国过度死亡率的趋势.
- 调查过度死亡率,年龄,性别和COVID-19变种之间的关系.
- 为流行病应对公共卫生战略提供信息.
主要方法:
- 利用来自韩国统计局的所有死因 (2010-2022) 的数据.
- 从韩国疾病控制和预防机构获得了COVID-19死亡数据.
- 使用具有季节性影响的多变量线性回归模型,按年龄和性别分层,以估计基线死亡率.
主要成果:
- 过度死亡率在2021年11月之前仍然不显著,然后急剧增加.
- 在Omicron (BA.1/BA.2) 主导时期 (2022年3月至4月) 发生了最高的过度死亡率.
- 过度死亡率和COVID-19死亡率随着年龄的增长而增加,85岁及以上的个人观察到的最高率.
结论:
- 随着COVID-19的流行,特别是高传染性变种,整体死亡率显著增加,特别是在老年人中.
- 在流行病期间,医疗保健资源应优先为老年人提供.
- 建立强大的过度死亡率监测系统对于有效的流行病应对和政策评估至关重要.
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