气候变化,风险感知和适应障碍在新西兰的林业种植者之间
Grace B Villamor1,2, Steve J Wakelin1, Peter W Clinton1
1Scion (New Zealand Forest Research Institute, Ltd), Titokorangi Drive (formerly Longmile Rd), Rotorua, New Zealand.
Journal of the Royal Society of New Zealand
|October 23, 2024
概括
新西兰的森林种植者感知到气候变化的影响,但由于障碍,很少有人适应. 适应决策与感知和经验有关,而不仅仅是风险评估,为未来的政策提供信息.
科学领域:
- 林业科学 林业科学
- 适应气候变化 适应气候变化
- 环境心理学环境心理学
背景情况:
- 气候变化给全球森林种植者带来了挑战.
- 了解森林种植者适应行为对于新西兰重要的林业部门至关重要.
- 在这种情况下,适应策略和决策过程仍未得到充分研究.
研究的目的:
- 研究新西兰森林种植者对气候变化的看法和适应行为.
- 确定影响适应决策的因素和实施障碍.
- 为林业部门制定有效的气候变化适应政策提供信息.
主要方法:
- 对60名林业种植者进行的调查,他们管理着新西兰70%以上的种植森林.
- 对气候变化影响的看法分析,包括野火和害虫/疾病风险.
- 后勤回归用于识别种植者特征,感知和适应行动之间的关联.
主要成果:
- 47%的种植者认为气候变化的影响;60%预计野火和害虫/疾病风险增加.
- 只有21%的人表示实施了适应措施,理由是缺乏资源和动力.
- 气候变化感知,研究获取,信息可用性,年龄和经验显著预测了适应.
结论:
- 新西兰的林业种植者适应受到感知和经验的影响,而不仅仅是风险评估.
- 需要解决资源限制和动机等障碍,以实现有效的适应.
- 政策制定应考虑个人风险感知之外的更广泛的因素,以成功适应气候变化.
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