对北极冰芯缩记录的校准,用于过去的海冰重建
Federico Scoto1, Niccolò Maffezzoli2, Matthew B Osman3
1Institute of Polar Sciences, National Research Council, ISP-CNR, 30172 Venice, Italy; Ca' Foscari University of Venice, Department of Environmental Sciences, Informatics and Statistics, Venice 30172, Italy.
The Science of the total environment
|October 23, 2024
概括
冰芯中的丰富现在可以从数量上重建过去的海冰范围. 这种新方法验证了丰富 (Brenr) 作为极地地区可靠的海冰代理.
科学领域:
- 古气候学 古气候学
- 冰核科学 冰核科学
- 遥感 遥感 遥感 遥感
背景情况:
- 冰芯中的被认为是海冰的定性代理物.
- 之前的研究缺乏对直接观察的统计验证.
研究的目的:
- 为了统计验证丰富 (Brenr) 作为一个定量海冰代理.
- 为了重建历史的季节性海冰变化.
主要方法:
- 来自格陵兰岛三个冰核 (SIGMA-A,NU,RECAP) 的丰富记录与卫星海冰图像 (1984-2016) 的结合.
- 使用自回归移动平均 (ARMA) 模型进行历史海冰重建.
- 将20世纪北极海冰记录与重建数据进行比较.
主要成果:
- 在冰芯Brenr和巴芬湾和拉布拉多海的第一年海冰之间发现了显著的相关性.
- 气相丰富在海冰表面被确定为Brenr信号的主要驱动因素.
- 在重建的和历史的北极海冰记录之间观察到良好的一致性.
结论:
- 冰芯中的丰富提供了一种新的,经过验证的方法,用于量化重建过去的季节性海冰变化.
- 需要进一步的研究,以进行特定地点的校准和运输调查.
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