José Alejandro Rojas-Venegas1,2, Pablo Gallarta-Sáenz3,4, Rafael G Hurtado2

  • 1Departamento Administrativo Nacional de Estadística (DANE), Bogotá 111321, Colombia.

PubMed
概括

由于模型轨迹的退化,流行病预测面临着挑战. 这项研究使用了类似量子的方法来表明,随机性,而不仅仅是模型复杂性,本质上限制了预测准确性,特别是在流行病峰值附近.

相关概念视频

Mechanistic Models: Compartment Models in Individual and Population Analysis01:23

Mechanistic Models: Compartment Models in Individual and Population Analysis

Mechanistic models are utilized in individual analysis using single-source data, but imperfections arise due to data collection errors, preventing perfect prediction of observed data. The mathematical equation involves known values (Xi), observed concentrations (Ci), measurement errors (εi), model parameters (ϕj), and the related function (ƒi) for i number of values. Different least-squares metrics quantify differences between predicted and observed values. The ordinary least...
29
Mechanistic Models: Compartment Models in Algorithms for Numerical Problem Solving01:29

Mechanistic Models: Compartment Models in Algorithms for Numerical Problem Solving

Mechanistic models play a crucial role in algorithms for numerical problem-solving, particularly in nonlinear mixed effects modeling (NMEM). These models aim to minimize specific objective functions by evaluating various parameter estimates, leading to the development of systematic algorithms. In some cases, linearization techniques approximate the model using linear equations.
In individual population analyses, different algorithms are employed, such as Cauchy's method, which uses a...
42
The Quantum-Mechanical Model of an Atom02:45

The Quantum-Mechanical Model of an Atom

Shortly after de Broglie published his ideas that the electron in a hydrogen atom could be better thought of as being a circular standing wave instead of a particle moving in quantized circular orbits, Erwin Schrödinger extended de Broglie’s work by deriving what is now known as the Schrödinger equation. When Schrödinger applied his equation to hydrogen-like atoms, he was able to reproduce Bohr’s expression for the energy and, thus, the Rydberg formula governing hydrogen spectra.
42.0K
Noncompartmental Analysis: Statistical Moment Theory00:56

Noncompartmental Analysis: Statistical Moment Theory

Noncompartmental analyses leverage statistical moment theory to examine time-related changes in macroscopic events, encapsulating the collective outcomes stemming from the constituent elements in play. Statistical moment theory is a mathematical approach used to describe the time course of drug concentration in the body without assuming a specific compartmental model. SMT provides insights into drug absorption, distribution, metabolism, and elimination by treating drug concentration versus time...
91
Control Volume and System Representations01:16

Control Volume and System Representations

Two key frameworks are employed to analyze mass, energy, and momentum transfer: the control volume approach and the system approach. These frameworks offer different perspectives, depending on whether the focus is on a specific region in space (control volume approach) or a defined mass of fluid (system approach).
The control volume approach considers a stationary region in space through which fluid flows. This region is bounded by a control surface.  For instance, in the case of water...
888