对COVID-19临床和实验室数据的回顾性分析:在不同的并发症中构建一个多变量模型
Mahdieh Shokrollahi Barough1, Mohammad Darzi2, Masoud Yunesian3
1Department of Immunology, School of Medicine Iran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran; Immunology research center institute of immunology and infectious diseases Iran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran; ATMP Department, Breast Cancer Research Center, Motamed Cancer Institute, ACECR, Tehran, Iran.
Journal of infection and public health
|October 25, 2024
概括
在男性中,COVID-19的死亡率更高,并且在55岁以上的人群中预测的死亡率更高. 病是最致命的并发症,而CT扫描对死亡没有预测价值.
科学领域:
- 医学研究 医学研究
- 流行病学 流行病学
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
背景情况:
- 了解COVID-19病原体需要对疾病机制进行同质研究.
- 确定临床和实验室预测因素对于预后和治疗至关重要.
- 这项研究旨在使用并发症和实验室指标预测COVID-19死亡率.
研究的目的:
- 分析并发症和实验室参数,以预测COVID-19死亡率.
- 在同质的患者队列中确定死亡率的关键预测因素.
- 为制定有效的治疗策略和改善患者预后提供信息.
主要方法:
- 对7500名COVID-19患者 (2022-2022) 的回顾性队列研究.
- 收集和分析临床,实验室和并发病数据.
- 使用机器学习进行特征识别和预测评分.
主要成果:
- 男性COVID-19患者的死亡率比女性 (17%) 高 (19.3%).
- 癌症和阿尔茨海默病是与长期住院相关的常见并发症.
- 病 (KD) 是最致命的并发病 (45%的死亡率);55岁以上是最强的死亡率预测因素.
- WBC,Cr,CRP,ALP和VBG-HCO3是共患病的显著预测因素;CT扫描得分没有预测.
结论:
- 年龄是COVID-19预后的一个关键因素,特别是对于老年患者.
- 病显著影响COVID-19死亡率结果.
- 结合并发症和实验室数据的预测模型可以指导临床管理.
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