热工作卷的降解建模和RUL预测基于改进的维纳工艺
Xuguo Yan1,2,3, Shiyang Zhou1,2,3, Huan Zhang1,2,3
1Key Laboratory of Metallurgical Equipment and Control Technology, Ministry of Education, Wuhan University of Science and Technology, Wuhan 430081, China.
Materials (Basel, Switzerland)
|October 26, 2024
概括
本研究引入了一种先进的维纳工艺模型,用于预测热工作卷的剩余使用寿命 (RUL). 改进的模型提高了工业环境中的维护策略和运营效率.
科学领域:
- 材料科学与工程 材料科学与工程
- 机械工程 机械工程
- 工业工程 工业工程 工业工程
背景情况:
- 热工作卷由于高温,应力和磨损而面临严重的退化.
- 滚面退化严重影响最终产品质量和运营效率.
- 准确的剩余使用寿命 (RUL) 预测对于优化维护至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 开发一个改进的降解模型,用于预测热工作卷的RUL.
- 提高RUL估计的准确性和可靠性,用于工业应用.
- 优化维护策略,确保运营效率.
主要方法:
- 基于维纳工艺的改进降解模型.
- 脉冲旋流测试与VMD-Hilbert特征提取的整合.
- 将高斯核纳入维纳过程,并使用贝叶斯框架进行参数估计.
主要成果:
- 拟议的模型显示了RMSE的显著减少 (约. 85.47%和41.20%) 和MAE (大约. 85.66%和42.61%) 与现有方法相比.
- 在确定系数 (CD) 中实现了121%和19.76%的显著改善.
- 大多数RUL预测都在20%的置信区间内,这表明其准确性和稳定性很高.
结论:
- 改进的维纳工艺模型为热工作卷的RUL估计提供了卓越的预测准确性和稳定性.
- 该模型为实时RUL预测提供了可靠的工具,优化了维护和运营效率.
- 这种方法解决了在工业环境中对精确的滚动降解评估的关键需求.
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