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基于状态空间建模和BiTCNN的光伏发电预测的高效方法

Guowei Dai1,2, Shuai Luo1,2, Hu Chen1,2

  • 1College of Computer Science, Sichuan University, Chengdu 610065, China.

Sensors (Basel, Switzerland)
|October 26, 2024
PubMed
概括

准确的光伏电力预测对于可再生能源管理至关重要. 本研究介绍了一个最佳的混合模型,结合BiTCN,DC,BiLSTM和一种新的混合SSM,实现高预测准确性并支持电网稳定性.

关键词:
深度学习是一种深度学习.智能融合 智能融合 智能融合预测光伏发电的预测国家空间模型国家空间模型时间序列预测时间序列预测

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State Space Representation01:27

State Space Representation

The frequency-domain technique, commonly used in analyzing and designing feedback control systems, is effective for linear, time-invariant systems. However, it falls short when dealing with nonlinear, time-varying, and multiple-input multiple-output systems. The time-domain or state-space approach addresses these limitations by utilizing state variables to construct simultaneous, first-order differential equations, known as state equations, for an nth-order system.
Consider an RLC circuit, a...
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Transfer Function to State Space01:23

Transfer Function to State Space

State-space representation is a powerful tool for simulating physical systems on digital computers, necessitating the conversion of the transfer function into state-space form. Consider an nth-order linear differential equation with constant coefficients, like those encountered in an RLC circuit. The state variables are selected as the output and its n−1 derivatives. Differentiating these variables and substituting them back into the original equation produces the state equations.
In an...
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The Power Flow Problem and Solution01:26

The Power Flow Problem and Solution

Power flow problem analysis is fundamental for determining real and reactive power flows in network components, such as transmission lines, transformers, and loads. The power system's single-line diagram provides data on the bus, transmission line, and transformer. Each bus k in the system is characterized by four key variables: voltage magnitude Vk​, phase angle δk​, real power Pk​, and reactive power Qk​. Two of these four variables are inputs, while the...
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Fast Decoupled and DC Powerflow01:24

Fast Decoupled and DC Powerflow

The fast decoupled power flow method addresses contingencies in power system operations, such as generator outages or transmission line failures. This method provides quick power flow solutions, essential for real-time system adjustments. Fast decoupled power flow algorithms simplify the Jacobian matrix by neglecting certain elements, leading to two sets of decoupled equations:
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State Space to Transfer Function01:21

State Space to Transfer Function

The conversion of state-space representation to a transfer function is a fundamental process in system analysis. It provides a method for transitioning from a time-domain description to a frequency-domain representation, which is crucial for simplifying the analysis and design of control systems.
The transformation process begins with the state-space representation, characterized by the state equation and the output equation. These equations are typically represented as:
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Simplified Synchronous Machine Model01:30

Simplified Synchronous Machine Model

The Synchronous Machine Model is a fundamental tool in analyzing and ensuring the transient stability of power systems. This model simplifies the representation of a synchronous machine under balanced three-phase positive-sequence conditions, assuming constant excitation and ignoring losses and saturation. The model is pivotal for understanding the behavior of synchronous generators connected to a power grid, particularly during transient events.
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