风和浮力强迫对海洋氧气趋势的竞争影响近几十年来在海洋氧气趋势
Helene A L Hollitzer1,2,3, Lavinia Patara4, Jens Terhaar5,6
1GEOMAR Helmholtz Centre for Ocean Research Kiel, 24148, Kiel, Germany. helene.hollitzer@unibe.ch.
Nature communications
|October 27, 2024
概括
由气候变化驱动的海洋脱氧是海洋的主要压力因素. 风力压力驱动着年复一年的氧气变化,而热量和淡水流则导致长期的脱氧.
科学领域:
- 海洋学 海洋学 海洋学
- 气候科学 气候科学
- 海洋生态海洋生态学
背景情况:
- 人为气候变化正在增加海洋脱氧,对海洋生态系统构成重大威胁.
- 气候变化对海洋氧气的主要影响包括风力模式的变化和空气-海洋热量和淡水交换.
研究的目的:
- 研究海洋氧气变化和脱氧的主要驱动因素.
- 评估风力压力和空海流量对氧气动态的相对贡献.
- 在气候变化场景下预测未来的海洋脱氧趋势.
主要方法:
- 利用全球海洋生物地质化学模型.
- 强迫模型使用历史大气数据.
- 分析了从一年到一年的氧气变化和长期脱氧趋势.
主要成果:
- 风压力是大多数海洋盆地短期 (年复一年) 氧气变化的主要驱动因素.
- 空气-海洋热量和淡水流是形成水质地区脱氧的主要驱动因素.
- 自20世纪60年代末以来的长期脱氧主要归因于空气-海洋热量和淡水流量的变化.
- 风力驱动的通风部分抵消了脱氧,特别是在南大洋.
结论:
- 预计风力压力加剧的放缓,加上持续的海洋变暖,可能会加速海洋脱氧.
- 目前的模型可能低估了海洋脱氧,强调了在模型中改善工业化前强迫数据的必要性.
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