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客运货物渡轮的危险分析:基于模糊的最佳-最差方法的修订风险矩阵模型
Wen-Kai K Hsu1, Show-Hui S Huang2, Thu Ngo Ngoc Le3
1Department of Shipping & Transportation Management, National Kaohsiung University of Science and Technology, 142, Hai Jhuan Rd, Nanzih District, Kaohsiung County, 81157, R.O.C., Taiwan.
Environmental science and pollution research international
|October 29, 2024
概括
本研究引入了一种新的风险矩阵模型,用于评估乘客货运渡轮 (PCF) 上的危险. 它确定了关键的风险因素,并提出了适应策略,以提高渡轮航行安全性和可靠性.
科学领域:
- 海上安全的航行.
- 风险管理 风险管理
- 运输工程 运输工程
背景情况:
- 海运对于全球贸易和经济增长至关重要.
- 确保海上运营的安全性和可靠性,特别是对于客运货运渡轮 (PCFs),至关重要.
- 现有的危险评估模型可能无法完全捕捉PCF操作的复杂性.
研究的目的:
- 分析和减轻与乘客货运渡轮 (PCF) 航行相关的危险.
- 开发和验证一个新的PCF风险评估框架.
- 为改善渡轮安全和运营弹性提供实际见解.
主要方法:
- 开发一个修订后的风险矩阵 (RRM) 模型,包括基于适应能力的弹性.
- 在渡轮航行中确定关键风险因素 (RF).
- 模糊最佳-最差方法 (BWM) 的应用用于射频权重.
- 使用台湾客运货运渡轮运营商进行实证验证.
主要成果:
- 拟议的RRM模型通过考虑组织性,有效地评估PCF危险.
- 通过模糊的BWM,确定和优先考虑了渡轮航行中的关键风险因素.
- 制定了适应性策略,以减轻已识别的危险.
- 台湾渡轮案例研究证实了该模型的实际适用性.
结论:
- 修订后的风险矩阵模型提供了一种可靠的方法来评估和管理PCF操作中的危险.
- 该研究为渡轮运营商提供了可行的策略,以提高航行安全.
- 海洋危险管理模型作为未来海洋危险管理研究的有价值的方法参考.
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