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基于软计算模型的开发,用于预测伊朗洛里斯坦省的水质指数
Balraj Singh1, Alireza Sepahvand2, Parveen Sihag3
1Panipat Institute of Engineering and Technology, Panipat, 132102, India.
Scientific reports
|October 30, 2024
概括
本研究引入了先进的软计算模型来预测伊朗的水质指数 (WQI). 带有FireFly (ANN-FFA) 模型的人工神经网络在预测水质参数方面表现出卓越的准确性.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 水资源管理 水资源管理
- 计算智能是一种计算智能.
背景情况:
- 水质指数 (WQI) 对于水资源管理至关重要,它将多个物理和化学参数整合到一个单一的指标中.
- 准确的WQI预测对于有效的环境监测和决策至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 探索和比较用于预测水质指数 (WQI) 的五种软计算技术的有效性.
- 确定在伊朗的Khorramabad,Biranshahr和Alashtar分流域中最准确的WQI预测模型.
主要方法:
- 使用软计算技术:基因表达编程 (GEP),高斯过程 (GP),减少错误修剪树 (REPt),人工神经网络与FireFly (ANN-FFA) 和袋装REPt.
- 采用了124个观察数据集,其中10个输入变量 (例如TDS,pH,EC,离子) 和WQI作为输出.
- 将数据分成70:30的培训和测试比例,评估模型使用相关性,确定系数,RMSE,NSE和MAPE.
主要成果:
- ANN-FFA模型表现出最高的性能,其相关系数为0.9990 (火车) 和0.9989 (测试).
- ANN-FFA实现了0.9612 (火车) 和0.9980 (测试) 的确定系数,使用最小的RMSE和MAPE.
- 泰勒图分析证实ANN-FFA是最好的模型,其次是GEP,表明预测准确度更高.
结论:
- 先进的软计算模型,特别是ANN-FFA,为研究区域的WQI预测提供了一种新且高度准确的方法.
- 拟议的ANN-FFA模型提供高效,成本效益和实时WQI预测,优于复杂环境数据的传统方法.
- 这项研究强调了数据驱动模型在通过精确的水质预测来增强水资源管理策略方面的潜力.
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