每个云都有一个银线:干旱的胜利者和失败者
Stefano Scarsini1, Dario Musolino1, Antonio Massarutto2
1Bocconi University, Via Roentgen 1, 20136, Milan, Italy.
Journal of environmental management
|October 30, 2024
概括
2022年的干旱对意大利农业产生了经济影响,消费者损失了资金,而大多数农民由于价格上而获利. 需求弹性影响了这些令人惊的分布效应.
科学领域:
- 农业经济学 农业经济学
- 环境经济学环境经济学
- 社会经济影响分析.
背景情况:
- 2022年的干旱严重影响了欧洲的农业,需要对其经济后果进行分析.
- 了解气候相关事件的分布效应对于制定农业部门政策至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 分析2022年干旱对意大利农业的社会经济影响.
- 从部门和区域的角度研究干旱的分布效应.
- 量化对农民和消费者的福祉的影响.
主要方法:
- 利用消费者余理论来建模经济影响.
- 通过分析"价格效应"和"数量效应"来量化幸福感的变化.
- 检查了需求弹性的作用在塑造分布模式.
主要成果:
- 由于干旱,消费者经历了经济损失 (成为"失败者").
- 大多数农民从干旱中受益,经历经济收益 (成为"赢家"),主要是由"价格效应"驱动的.
- 需求弹性被确定为影响干旱影响分布的关键因素.
结论:
- 这项研究挑战了对干旱经济影响的简单主义观点.
- 调查结果强调,干旱可能导致反直觉的结果,生产者以消费者为代价获益.
- 结果对设计农业和气候适应政策有重大影响.
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