评估维生素D缺乏在心血管健康中的相对重要性
Maira Rubab1, John D Kelleher2
1Hamilton Institute, Maynooth University, Maynooth, Co. Kildare, Ireland.
Frontiers in cardiovascular medicine
|October 31, 2024
概括
维生素D缺乏可能与心血管疾病 (CVD) 有关,但传统的风险因素对预测更为重要. 这项研究发现,血管疾病缺乏对心血管疾病风险的预测能力较低.
科学领域:
- 心血管健康 心血管健康
- 营养科学 营养科学
- 流行病学 流行病学
背景情况:
- 关于维生素D (VD) 缺乏和心血管疾病 (CVD) 之间的关联存在不一致的发现.
- 确定的心血管疾病风险因素对于了解心血管健康结果至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 在已确定的心血管疾病风险因素的背景下,调查VD缺乏和心血管疾病风险之间的关联.
- 评估VD缺陷和心血管疾病的传统风险因素的预测能力.
主要方法:
- 利用一个随机森林模型,对来自中国农村人口的1078个观测结果进行了分析.
- 在特征重要性分析中使用了SHapley添加式解释 (SHAP).
- 进行了废除实验,以确认VD缺乏的相对重要性.
主要成果:
- 心血管疾病预测模型达到87%的准确性,传统因素 (血压,年龄,体重指数,腰比) 主导.
- 血管疾病缺陷预测模型表现不佳 (52%的准确性),心血管疾病风险因素对其产生影响.
- 在预测心血管疾病风险方面,静脉缺陷的重要性显著低,尽管观察到一种关联.
结论:
- 传统的CVD风险因素是CVD的更重要的预测因素,而不是VD缺乏.
- 在CVD风险评估中,VD缺陷的作用可能与已确定的因素相比是次要的.
- 需要进一步的研究来澄清VD缺乏和心血管疾病之间的因果关系.
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