自2002年以来,中国森林生物质碳储量的持续增长与脆弱稳定
Qiancheng Lv1, Zeyu Yang1, Manchun Li2
1Faculty of Geographical Science, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China.
The Science of the total environment
|November 3, 2024
概括
中国的森林生物质碳储量正在增加,但变得脆弱. 许多森林显示碳密度下降和弹性减弱,冒着从碳汇转向碳源的风险.
科学领域:
- 生态生态学 生态生态学
- 气候变化科学 气候变化科学
- 林业林业 林业 林业 林业
背景情况:
- 森林生物质碳 (BC) 储存对于减缓气候变化至关重要.
- 空间时间模式和中国BC增长的稳定性尚未得到充分理解.
研究的目的:
- 分析2002-2021年中国森林BC储存的时空动态和弹性.
- 识别森林BC种群的风险和潜在转型.
主要方法:
- 利用跨越2002-2021年的BC地图来计算BC动态.
- 应用弹性指标来评估BC存储的稳定性.
- 分析了不同森林类型和年龄的BC密度变化和波动.
主要成果:
- 中国的总BC库存增加了,但许多森林,特别是老年森林 (>70年) 和叶落针叶森林 (DNF),经历了BC密度的减少.
- 超过53%的森林显示弹性减弱,其中DNF呈现最严重的下降,导致BC增长放缓和波动增加.
- 10.4%的高BC密度森林成为净碳来源,原因是经常发生的BC损失和弹性下降.
结论:
- 中国的森林BC潜力很大,但面临着大量的损失和转化为碳来源的风险.
- 森林BC库存,尽管总体增长,是脆弱的,可能接近其峰值.
- 需要紧急的管理策略,以应对不断下降的弹性,并防止大规模的BC损失.
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