基于江省面板模型的肠道传染病的时空模式和相关因素研究
Lanfang Gu1, Jian Cai2, Yan Feng2
1Department of Big Data in Health Science, Center for Clinical Big Data and Statistics, Second Affiliated Hospital, College of Medicine, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, China.
BMC public health
|November 4, 2024
概括
江省的肠道传染病 (IID) 呈现空间集群,较高的发病率扩散到邻近地区. 人口密度,城市化和经济状况等因素影响疾病风险,需要有针对性的预防策略.
科学领域:
- 流行病学 流行病学
- 空间分析是一种空间分析.
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
背景情况:
- 肠道传染病 (IID) 显著影响儿童发育和成人健康.
- 了解IIDs的空间动态对于有效的公共卫生干预至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 分析人口,经济和卫生资源因素与江省常见IID的发病率之间的关系.
- 为制定有针对性的疾病预防措施提供科学基础.
主要方法:
- 从2011年到2021年,在江省收集了每月报告的IID病例.
- 利用空间面板模型分析影响IID发病率的9个因素.
- 确定了统计学意义上的空间模式和影响因素 (P < 0.05).
主要成果:
- IIDs表现出空间聚类和显著的辐射效应,高发病率蔓延到邻近地区.
- 人口密度保护了细菌性痢疾,而老龄化率增加了其他传染性腹 (OID) 的风险.
- 城市化和人均国内生产总值产生了不同的影响,根据具体的IID,它们作为风险或保护因素.
结论:
- 在江省的IID发病率表明空间聚类,在杭州,绍兴和金华有热点.
- 邻近地区的溢出效应是显著的,必须在预防工作中考虑.
- 针对性疾病预防策略应根据区域发展特点量身定制.
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