确定总体指定的水平,性质,动态和对英国可持续性的影响2000-2018年
1College of Life and Environmental Sciences, University of Exeter, Amory Building, Rennes Drive, Exeter EX4 4RJ, United Kingdom.
The Science of the total environment
|November 4, 2024
概括
可持续性评估的综合指标可能令人困惑. 应用可持续性动态框架揭示了英国的可持续发展.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 可持续性研究 可持续性研究
- 社会经济分析 社会经济分析
背景情况:
- 复合指标被广泛用于可持续性评估,但通常产生不一致的结果.
- 可持续发展的多方面性质需要一个整体的框架来准确评估.
- 现有的方法可以过度简化复杂的现实世界可持续发展动态.
研究的目的:
- 评估2000年至2018年的英国 (UK) 可持续性的累积水平,性质和动态.
- 将一个一致的概念和运营整体框架 (可持续发展动态框架) 应用于复合指标结果.
- 确定潜在的风险和必要的转型,以提高英国的可持续性.
主要方法:
- 利用了四个复合指标工具,应用于可持续发展动态框架.
- 从累积角度评估可持续性:脆弱性,布伦特兰德和环境绩效指数-人类发展指数 (EPI-HDI).
- 开发了一个动态模型来分析可持续性趋势和风险.
主要成果:
- 英国的累积可持续性被发现是"非常弱的可持续性".
- 具体的前景表明"非常微弱的不可持续性" (脆弱性),"微弱的可持续性" (布伦特兰德) 和"强大的可持续性" (EPI-HDI).
- 动态分析表明,由于人口和资源转型,英国面临潜在的环境和/或社会危机风险.
结论:
- 英国迫切需要进行根本性的转变,以恢复共同进化的关系.
- 建议包括人口优化,环境恢复和保护以及无影响的发展.
- 该研究强调,需要一个全面的框架来进行 robust 可持续性评估.
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