美国伊利诺伊州的白尾鹿 (Odocoileus virginianus) 息地质量建模的更新框架
Jameson Mori1, William Brown1, Daniel Skinner2
1Illinois Natural History Survey University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign Champaign Illinois USA.
Ecology and evolution
|November 4, 2024
概括
伊利诺伊州开发了一个新的鹿土地覆盖效用 (LCU) 评分,改进了以前的息地适应性模型. 这个分数准确地预测了跨多个空间尺度的白尾鹿密度.
科学领域:
- 野生动物生态生态学
- 息地的评估评估
- 地理空间分析的研究.
背景情况:
- 白尾鹿 (Odocoileus virginianus) 的管理需要了解环境关系.
- 之前的息地适宜性指数使用过时的卫星数据,缺乏精细尺度的分辨率.
- 在较小的空间尺度上评估鹿息地的适宜性时存在差距.
研究的目的:
- 为伊利诺伊州制定更新的鹿土地覆盖公用事业 (LCU) 评分.
- 用当代土地覆盖数据和鹿种群数据验证LCU得分.
- 为改善白尾鹿管理和相关生态研究提供一个工具.
主要方法:
- 使用国家土地覆盖数据库 (2001-2021) 开发了TRS,乡镇和县级的鹿LCU得分.
- 通过贝叶斯回归验证了LCU得分与最低鹿种群数据相比.
- 在回归模型中包含与狩猎和鹿密度相关的协变量.
主要成果:
- 贝叶斯回归模型表现出强的性能,R2值为0.501 (TRS),0.5 (乡镇) 和0.969 (县).
- 鹿的LCU得分在统计学上是显著的,并且在所有尺度上与最低鹿密度正相关.
- 模型预测显示了准确性,真实和预测的鹿密度之间的中位数绝对差异较低.
结论:
- 开发的鹿LCU得分有效地预测了伊利诺伊州在多个空间尺度上的白尾鹿密度.
- 这种LCU为鹿管理,疾病生态学和分布研究提供了宝贵的工具.
- 该建模方法可适应其他物种,地点和时间段,并提供土地覆盖数据.
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