吸烟和饮酒趋势的分歧:根据年龄期和队列分析方法的结果
Duyen Nguyen1, Michael Donnelly2, Ciaran O'Neill2
1Center for Public Health, School of Medicine, Dentistry and Biomedical Sciences, Queen's University Belfast, Belfast, BT12 6BA, United Kingdom; Center for Population Health Sciences, Hanoi University of Public Health, no 1A Duc Thang Street, North Tu Liem district, Hanoi, 100000, Viet Nam.
Social science & medicine (1982)
|November 7, 2024
概括
吸烟率有所下降,而酒精消费量却有所增加. 针对年轻成年人的干预措施对于减少吸烟和饮酒患病率至关重要. 建议对饮酒模式和政治历史进行进一步的研究.
科学领域:
- 公共卫生 公共卫生
- 流行病学 流行病学
- 行为科学 行为科学
背景情况:
- 随着时间的推移,吸烟率显著下降.
- 与此同时,酒精消费也呈现出日益增长的趋势.
- 了解这些行为中的年龄,时间和出生队伍的相互作用对于公共卫生倡议至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 分析吸烟和酒精消费的趋势,使用年龄-时期-队列方法.
- 为了确定特定的年龄组,时间段和与更高的吸烟和饮酒率相关的出生队伍.
- 为公共卫生战略提供信息,以预防物质使用.
主要方法:
- 利用来自北爱尔兰连续家庭调查 (1985-2015) 的横截面数据.
- 采用年龄周期队列分析,使用10年年龄组和9个出生队列.
- 应用结点分析和内在估计模型来检查行为模式.
主要成果:
- 吸烟和饮酒都在年轻成人 (25-34岁) 达到顶峰,并且随着年龄的增长而下降.
- 从1985年到2015年,世俗趋势显示吸烟率下降,酒精禁酒率大幅增加.
- 十代人对吸烟和饮酒的倾向略高,尽管这种影响随着时间的推移而减弱.
结论:
- 吸烟和饮酒的不同趋势可能源于不同的政策努力.
- 建议针对青少年和年轻成年人的干预措施来减少患病率.
- 需要对特定群体进行研究,以探索饮酒与北爱尔兰政治历史之间的联系.
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