阻止环境退化,在泰国建立财富
Onil Banerjee1, Martin Cicowiez2, Erica Cristine Honeck3
1RMGEO Consultants Inc., 951 Regent Street, Suite 216, Fredericton, NB E3B-6Z2, Canada.
The Science of the total environment
|November 7, 2024
概括
环境恶化威胁着泰国的高收入目标. 如果不加以控制,它可能会使GDP损失5530亿美元,但政策干预和消除森林砍伐可以建立财富和弹性.
科学领域:
- 环境经济学环境经济学
- 适应气候变化 适应气候变化
- 自然资源管理自然资源管理
背景情况:
- 泰国的20年国家战略的目标是到2037年实现高收入国家地位.
- 气候变化和不可持续的资源管理正在侵蚀自然资本和经济进步.
- 环境退化,包括森林砍伐和气候影响,带来了重大风险.
研究的目的:
- 检查不受控制的退化对经济和环境的影响.
- 要将这种发展轨迹与与国家战略一致的政策干预相对比.
- 评估环境政策在实现可持续发展目标中的作用.
主要方法:
- 在不同的环境场景下预测GDP和财富的经济建模.
- 生态系统服务损失的量化 (供应,文化,监管).
- 分析政策对经济指标和自然资本的影响.
主要成果:
- 无法控制的环境退化可能会导致到2050年GDP下降5530亿美元.
- 森林资源可能从8.25万公减少到543万公.
- 政策干预可以抵消部分损失,增加545亿美元的财富,消除森林砍伐是关键.
结论:
- 消除森林砍伐是阻止环境退化和建立财富的最有效策略.
- 实施气候变化缓解,适应和消除森林砍伐的政策对于泰国的高收入愿望至关重要.
- 需要运营计划和投资来指导公共和私营部门应对这些挑战.
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