探索长江三角洲地区的社会经济和环境协调,使用游戏理论逐步集群因数合协调模型
Jie Sun1, Mengjia Xu1, Cai Suo2
1Nanjing Institute of Environmental Science, Ministry of Ecology and Environment of the People's Republic of China, Nanjing, 210042, China.
Scientific reports
|November 9, 2024
概括
长江三角洲的经济增长显示了社会经济和环境协调的改善. 然而,空间不平等仍然存在,这凸显了为确保可持续发展而制定有针对性的政策的必要性.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 经济学 经济学 经济学
- 区域科学 地区科学
背景情况:
- 经济增长带来了重大的环境挑战.
- 了解社会经济发展和环境状况之间的相互作用对于可持续发展至关重要.
- 长江三角洲地区面临着复杂的社会经济和环境动态.
研究的目的:
- 研究长江三角洲地区社会经济和环境协调的空间和时间模式.
- 确定社会经济和环境系统之间的合协调程度 (CCD) 背后的驱动力.
- 为此分析开发一个游戏理论步骤集群因数合协调模型 (GSFCM).
主要方法:
- 开发和应用一个游戏理论阶级集群因数合协调模型 (GSFCM).
- 分析2015年至2020年社会经济和环境协调的空间和时间模式.
- 确定影响合协调程度的关键社会经济和环境因素.
主要成果:
- 从2015年到2020年,长江三角洲地区的社会经济和环境状况呈现上升趋势.
- 所有41个城市都在协调方面取得了进展,但观察到显著的空间不平等.
- 杭州,上海和周山的合协调度 (CCD) 是最高的,而博州,苏州和富阳的合协调度最低.
结论:
- 社会经济因素 (82.98%) 是增强CCD的主要驱动因素,其次是环境因素 (11.05%) 和它们的相互作用 (5.92%).
- 关键的驱动因素包括人均GDP,第三产业比例和PM2.5度.
- 政策建议侧重于区域合作,工业升级和环境基础设施投资,以实现可持续发展.
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