什么时候犯罪受害者会破坏普遍的信任? 一个加权的小组分析犯罪类型,频率和种类的影响
Florian Kaiser1, Dietrich Oberwittler1, Isabel Thielmann1
1Max Planck Institute for the Study of Crime, Security and Law, Freiburg, Germany.
Social science research
|November 14, 2024
概括
犯罪受害者可能会略微侵蚀普遍的信任,但其影响在犯罪类型和时间之间是微弱和不一致的. 研究表明,由于方法上的局限性,在解释严重或多重受害者的研究结果时要谨慎.
科学领域:
- 犯罪学 犯罪学
- 社会学 社会学 社会学
- 心理学 心理学 心理学
背景情况:
- 学者们的共识表明,犯罪受害可以显著降低普遍的信任.
- 现有的纵向研究仅显示了轻微的平均效应,这就质疑了这种关系的强度.
- 对于特定的犯罪类型和多重受害的经验,存在更强效应的潜力.
研究的目的:
- 调查犯罪受害对普遍信任的影响.
- 检查特定的犯罪类型或多次受害经历是否会放大信任侵蚀.
- 评估受害者对信任的影响的时间稳定性.
主要方法:
- 雇员 能源权重与滞后依赖变量模型相结合.
- 利用来自两个德国城市 (2014/2015和2020/2021) 的两波面板调查的数据.
- 分析了两个队列 (N=3401和N=2932) 的数据,以评估受害效应.
主要成果:
- 发现了微弱的证据表明,严重的犯罪类型或多重受害者显著增加了信任侵蚀.
- 在2014/2015年群体中观察到暴力犯罪和一些多重受害者实例的强烈影响,但在2020/2021年群体中没有.
- 权重程序表明,有关强烈受害者状况的调查结果的内部有效性可能受到限制.
结论:
- 犯罪受害者对普遍信任的影响是微妙的,甚至在严重或多起事件中也不总是明显.
- 时间变化和方法考虑,特别是在权重程序方面,需要谨慎地解释研究结果.
- 需要使用强大的方法进行进一步的研究,才能充分理解受害和信任之间的复杂关系.
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