在中国境内Aromia bungii的空间分布模式及其在气候变化和人类活动下的潜在分布
Liang Zhang1, Ping Wang1,2, Guanglin Xie1,2
1Institute of Entomology, College of Agriculture Yangtze University Jingzhou China.
Ecology and evolution
|November 15, 2024
概括
芳香香虫害的传播受气候和人类活动的影响. 虽然人类活动目前限制了其范围,但预计未来的气候变化将增加这种森林害虫的息地.
科学领域:
- 林业林业 林业 林业 林业
- 生态生态学 生态生态学
- 昆虫学 昆虫学是一门学科.
背景情况:
- 芳香树 (Aromia bungii) 是一种影响森林健康和果树产业的重大害虫.
- 害虫分布受非生物因素和人类活动的影响,需要进行空间分析.
研究的目的:
- 为了分析中国Aromia bungii的空间分布模式.
- 在各种气候和人类活动场景下预测潜在的分布区域.
- 为害虫管理和森林生态系统安全提供指导.
主要方法:
- 使用莫兰的I和Getis-Ord一般G指数进行空间分析.
- 热点识别与Getis-Ord Gi*.使用
- 用优化的MaxEnt模型和MigClim进行物种分布建模,用于未来的预测.
主要成果:
- 人类活动,最寒冷月份的最低气温和最潮湿月份的降水均对Aromia bungii的分布产生积极影响.
- 目前,人类活动减少了该害虫的适合区域,使其集中在中国东部和中部.
- 预计未来的气候变化将增加Aromia bungii的息地,而未被占用的合适区域则有上升趋势.
结论:
- 了解空间动态对于管理Aromia bungii至关重要.
- 气候变化可能会扩大适合这种害虫的息地.
- 这项研究提供了关于害虫控制和保持森林健康的理论指导.
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