灾难风险耐受性和弹性悖论:我们是否提出了正确的问题?
1Michael Baker International, Lansing, Michigan. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6443-237X.
Journal of emergency management (Weston, Mass.)
|November 15, 2024
概括
应急管理中的弹性常常与降低风险相混. 本研究介绍了灾难风险承受能力 (DRT) 作为一种更好的概念,用于理解弹性和降低风险的决策.
科学领域:
- 应急管理 应急管理
- 风险分析 风险分析
- 社会心理学 社会心理学
背景情况:
- 弹性是复杂的,通常与应急管理中的风险降低等同.
- 降低风险不是恢复力的先决条件.
- 风险感知是风险降低行动的糟糕预测指标.
研究的目的:
- 探索灾难风险容忍 (DRT) 的概念.
- 提出DRT作为理解风险降低决策和弹性的一种优越框架.
- 检查社会认同和有效性对DRT的影响.
主要方法:
- 对弹性和风险感知进行概念分析.
- 介绍和探索灾难风险容忍 (DRT) 框架.
- 讨论社会认同和有效性作为影响DRT的因素.
主要成果:
- 与传统的抗灾能力指标相比,灾难风险容忍度 (DRT) 提供了对降低风险的决策的更细致的理解.
- 风险感知不是风险降低行动的可靠驱动因素.
- 社会认同和有效性显著影响个人或社区的DRT.
结论:
- 在应急管理中,DRT提供了一个比降低风险更有效的镜头来理解应急管理中的弹性.
- 提出了改善风险沟通策略的建议,这些风险沟通策略由DRT提供信息.
- 未来的研究应该进一步研究社会因素和DRT的相互作用.
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