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对个人意见差异的多变量意见演变分析:基于代理的模型模型
1Department of Intelligent Science, <a href="https://ror.org/04facbs33">Communication University of China</a>, Beijing 100024, People's Republic of China.
Physical review. E
|November 20, 2024
概括
沉默螺旋理论在数字时代面临着新的挑战. 社交媒体上出现了一种沉默的反螺旋,可能导致意见分歧并影响公众论的演变.
科学领域:
- 社会科学 社会科学 社会科学
- 计算社会科学 计算社会科学
- 网络科学 网络科学
背景情况:
- 沉默的螺旋理论,源于大众媒体,建议压制意见以避免社会排斥.
- 社交媒体引入了一个沉默的反螺旋,由自我意识和在线匿名驱动.
- 这些相反的力量之间的相互作用在数字网络中塑造了公众论.
研究的目的:
- 调查社交网络中沉默螺旋和沉默反螺旋之间的竞争.
- 提出和验证一个模型来量化这些现象及其对论的影响.
- 探讨意见分歧或一致性占主导地位的条件.
主要方法:
- 螺旋竞争模型 (SCM) 的发展,包括伪观点和反观点.
- 基于三角关闭的时间变化的网络拓算法的实现.
- 使用埃尔多斯-雷尼随机网络进行模拟分析,并使用新浪微博数据进行验证.
主要成果:
- 沉默的反螺旋可以导致意见分歧显著,挑战现状.
- 如果沉默的反螺旋不占上风,扭转论趋势将变得困难.
- 该模型展示了在线社交网络中意见形成的复杂动态.
结论:
- 个人意识和在线平台可以促进意见多元化.
- 了解这些螺旋之间的平衡对于预测论至关重要.
- 这项研究提供了关于数字时代公共话语演变的见解.
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