技术战术和身体表现对职业足球比赛结果的影响:一个案例研究
Benjamin Barthelemy1,2, Guillaume Ravé2, Karuppasamy Govindasamy3
1Movement, Sport, Health and Sciences laboratory (M2S), UFR-STAPS, University of Rennes 2-ENS Cachan, Rennes Cedex, France.
Journal of human kinetics
|November 20, 2024
概括
足球比赛的结果与技术战术表现有关,而不是物理运行指标. 减少对手对 (xGA) 的预期进球是赢得胜利的关键. 身体表现与比赛结果没有任何关联.
科学领域:
- 运动科学 运动科学 运动科学
- 足球分析 足球分析
背景情况:
- 职业足球中的比赛结果受到技术,战术和物理团队变量的复杂相互作用的影响.
- 了解不同绩效指标的具体贡献,以匹配结果,对于优化团队战略和培训至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 为了比较一个职业足球队的不同比赛结果 (胜利,平局,失利) 的物理和现代技术战术性能变量.
- 确定哪些业绩指标,如果有的话,与赢或输有显著联系.
主要方法:
- 分析了2020/2021和2021/2022赛季的法国联赛2的71场职业足球比赛.
- 使用经过验证的视频跟踪系统 (OPTA) 收集物理数据 (总距离,高速跑,加速/减速) 和技术战术数据 (预期的进球/对,预期的进球链/对,每次防守行动的传球).
- 基于比赛结果 (胜利,平局,输球) 的这些变量的统计比较.
主要成果:
- 不同结果的比赛之间在物理运行指标 (例如,总距离,高速运行,加速/减速) 中没有发现显著差异.
- 在胜负之间观察到预期进球对 (xGA) 和预期进球链对 (xGCA) 的显著差异,在赢得比赛中值较低.
- 在xGCA和在加速和减速过程中完成的距离之间发现了一个微弱但显著的正相关性.
结论:
- 技术战术变量,特别是与防守实力 (减少对手预期进球) 相关的变量,与足球比赛结果有关.
- 在这项研究中,物理跑步性能指标与比赛结果没有显著的关联.
- 虽然存在关联,但无法最终推断因果关系;改进的技术战术表现可能通过限制对手的进球预期来积极影响结果.
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