对离岸石油项目的公共政策:应对潜在的深水漏油事件
1H. A. True Chair in Petroleum and Natural Gas Economics, Department of Economics, University of Wyoming, Laramie, WY, USA.
Journal of environmental management
|November 20, 2024
概括
深水石油勘探带来了重大风险,但减少重大泄漏风险的好处超过了成本. 本研究为评估这些风险及其对生态系统保护的经济影响提供了一个框架.
科学领域:
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 风险评估 风险评估
- 经济学 经济学 经济学
背景情况:
- 全球对深水石油勘探的兴趣正在增加.
- 像2010年Macondo事件这样的大型油污泄漏,构成严重的环境和经济威胁.
- 这导致了对海上石油和天然气活动的拟议监管变更.
研究的目的:
- 提出一个框架来评估在深水石油勘探和生产中的风险.
- 为了估计社会愿意为生态系统的保护而支付的石油泄漏风险.
- 将这个框架应用于BP石油泄漏案例研究.
主要方法:
- 开发深水勘探风险评估框架.
- 生态系统保护效益的经济估值.
- 使用BP石油泄漏数据进行案例研究分析.
主要成果:
- 拟议的框架允许估计社会愿意为降低风险支付费用.
- 对BP石油泄漏事件的分析表明,减少泄漏风险的好处超过了相关成本.
- 该研究量化了减轻深水钻探危险的经济优势.
结论:
- 在深水石油勘探中实施强有力的风险管理策略在经济上是合理的.
- 社会愿意为生态系统保护付出代价是监管和投资决策的关键因素.
- 积极的风险缓解提供了相当大的净收益,即使在不同的风险降低场景下.
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