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预计中国光伏产业的废物和回收潜力
Bingchun Liu1, Ming Li1, Jiali Chen2
1School of Management, Tianjin University of Technology, Tianjin 300384, China.
Waste management (New York, N.Y.)
|November 21, 2024
概括
中国中国中国中国.
科学领域:
- 可再生能源可再生能源是可再生能源.
- 环境科学 环境科学
- 材料科学 材料科学 材料科学
背景情况:
- 由脱碳努力推动的光伏 (PV) 产业的快速增长正在导致光伏废弃物大幅增加.
- 准确预测未来的光伏废物对于中国光伏行业的可持续发展至关重要.
研究的目的:
- 预测中国从2024年到2050年累计的光伏装机容量.
- 量化回收光伏电池板材料的潜力,并评估其经济价值.
主要方法:
- 一个使用长期和短期双向内存GRA.的多因素安装容量预测模型.
- 韦布尔分布和动态场景分析用于材料回收量化.
主要成果:
- 预计到2050年,中国累计的光伏装机容量将达到2901吉瓦.
- 可以回收大量的C-si,CdTe和CIGS面板,总计数百万.
- 预计回收将产生139.9亿美元的收入,回收产能平均占新产能的64.7%.
结论:
- 分布式光伏系统将比集中式系统产生更多的退役设备.
- 太阳能废物回收提供了显著的经济效益和对新产能的补充效应.
- 调查结果支持政策制定者制定各种光伏技术回收材料管理策略.
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