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在感知决策中挑战贝叶斯的信心假设
Kai Xue1, Medha Shekhar1, Dobromir Rahnev1
1School of Psychology, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA 30332.
概括
信任判断不能依赖于复杂的概率计算. 新的研究表明,对于感知任务,对原始证据空间 (CRES) 的信心比贝叶斯信心假设 (BCH) 是一个更好的模型.
科学领域:
- 认知心理学 认知心理学
- 神经科学是一个神经科学.
- 决策 决策 决策 决策
背景情况:
- 贝叶斯信心假设 (BCH) 是一种重要的信心理论,它反映了后面的概率.
- 在复杂的任务中,BCH面临着挑战,而对原始证据空间 (CRES) 的信心假设提供了一个替代方案.
- CRES假设信心是基于原始的感官证据,绕过了明确的概率计算.
研究的目的:
- 测试竞争的贝叶斯信心假设 (BCH) 和对原始证据空间 (CRES) 模型的信心.
- 用高斯证据分布来调查感知任务中的信心判断.
- 确定任务难度信息是否可以区分BCH和CRES.
主要方法:
- 设计感知任务以诱导高斯证据分布.
- 在三个实验中收集行为数据,检查信心判断.
- 对实施BCH和CRES的16种变体进行了广泛的模型比较.
主要成果:
- 即使在简单的双选择任务中,也观察到区分BCH和CRES的行为特征.
- 所有实验都显示了与CRES计算一致的结果,与BCH预测相矛盾.
- 在所有变体和实验中,CRES模型的表现优于BCH模型.
结论:
- 这些发现挑战了贝叶斯信任假设 (BCH) 对信任判断的优势.
- 证据强烈支持对原始证据空间 (CRES) 假设的信心.
- 表明人类可能直接基于感官证据标准建立信心,而不是后期概率.
关键词:
值得信赖的信心计算计算感知性决策 - 感知性的决策信号检测理论 信号检测理论视觉元认知 (Visual Metacognition) 是指视觉元认知 (Visual Metacognition) 是指视觉元认知 (Visual Metacognition) 是指视觉元认知 (Visual Metacognition) 是指视觉元认知 (Visual Metacognition) 是指视觉元认知 (Visual Metacognition) 是指视觉元认知 (Visual Metacognition) 是指视觉元认知 (Visual Metacognition) 是指视觉元认知 (Visual Metacognition) 是指相关概念视频
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